FanBoardHQ

West Virginia

West Virginia University · 2024 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#68
Efficiency
-0.8
68th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
5-4
Conf. finish
9th
of 16
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West Virginia went 6-7 and was ranked 68th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 27th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 110th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 43rd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 74th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
2-5
Q3
2-1
Q4
2-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
71st
-2.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
48th
full season
48th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
60th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Penn StateBig Ten#6L 1234-20.50%-7.7Q1
2vs UAlbanyCoastal AthleticW 4914+33.6100%-3.9Q4
3@ PittsburghACC#55L 3438-6.80%-0.4Q2
4vs KansasBig 12#48W 3228-10.5100%13.1Q2
6@ Oklahoma StateBig 12#101W 3814-1.7100%30.0Q3
7vs Iowa StateBig 12#13L 1628-10.90%-9.3Q2
8vs Kansas StateBig 12#24L 1845-11.20%-20.7Q2
9@ ArizonaBig 12#98W 3126+3.3100%0.4Q4
11@ CincinnatiBig 12#70W 3124-8.3100%15.5Q2
12vs BaylorBig 12#33L 3549-10.80%-6.9Q2
13vs UCFBig 12#86W 3121-3.7100%13.8Q3
14@ Texas TechBig 12#40L 1552-10.00%-33.2Q2
Postseason
vs MemphisAmerican Athletic#38L 3742-3.40%-3.3Q3

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on West Virginia, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-28.1-1.6+24.9-8-4-01330-9-21016-714-33Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 74th
SR 59thYPP 77thEPA 78th
RushingEff 43rd
SR 41stYPP 46thEPA 39th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 130th
SR 121stYPP 124thEPA 130th
Rush defenseEff 29th
SR 30thYPP 24thEPA 33rd
Dropback rate 43%Tempo -2.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 56th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 41%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 48%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 52%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 82.0Q1 · Allowed: 54.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 130.0Q2 · Allowed: 153.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 59.0Q3 · Allowed: 70.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 97.0Q4 · Allowed: 125.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledWest VirginiaOffenseDefense
West Virginia Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 27th
+6.1
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: +6.9
Field position -0.8Finishing drives +6.9= +6.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 94th · Finishing 19th

Defensive EffRanked 110th
-7.0
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: -7.7
Field position +0.7Finishing drives -7.7= -7.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 39th · Finishing 119th

2.70 points per drive on offense, 2.84 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(228)39% / 61%47%6.0
Q2(247)46% / 54%45%6.5
Q3(191)42% / 58%41%5.8
Q4(213)52% / 48%41%5.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(149)10.247%6.8
2nd(117)8.338%6.1
3rd(104)8.341%7.7
4th(23)5.652%5.0
All (393)43%6.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(228)9.841%5.4
2nd(168)7.544%5.5
3rd(72)5.449%5.3
4th(18)2.678%5.1
All (486)45%5.4

West Virginia, all games.